MA335-7-SP-CO:
Modelling experimental and observational data

The details
2023/24
Mathematics, Statistics and Actuarial Science (School of)
Colchester Campus
Spring
Postgraduate: Level 7
Current
Monday 15 January 2024
Friday 22 March 2024
15
08 January 2024

 

Requisites for this module
(none)
(none)
(none)
(none)

 

(none)

Key module for

MSC G30512 Applied Data Science,
MSC G30524 Applied Data Science,
MSC G30612 Data Science and its Applications,
MSC G30624 Data Science and its Applications

Module description

This module will introduce the principles for the application of linear modelling methodologies for the analysis of experimental and observational data.


The first strand of the module will study the assumptions of the general linear model. Collinearity, influential data, assessing the fitted model and model selection techniques will be discussed. The second strand will introduce statistical methods for the efficient analysis of experiments when the data are normally distributed, for example one-way ANOVA. The methodology will be extended to logistic regression. The third strand of the module will study various multivariate methods for the analysis of large and high-dimensional data sets.

Module aims

The aims of this module are:



  • To provide the fundamental understanding of the underlying statistical methodologies.

  • To provide capabilities of applying these methodologies to real experimental and observational data.

  • To provide knowledge of conducting a robust statistical analysing of the data.

  • To provide capabilities of interpreting the results effectively.

Module learning outcomes

By the end of this module, students will be expected to have:



  1. Knowledge and critical understanding of the well-established principles of estimating a multiple linear regression model using real data.

  2. Knowledge and critical understanding of the well-established principles of assessing fitted models and validate linear models’ assumptions.

  3. Knowledge and critical understanding of the well-established principles of identifying and conducting simple designed experiments.

  4. Knowledge and critical understanding of the well-established principles of employing and assessing the results of discriminant analysis, multiple logistic regression, principal component and clustering to real observational data.

  5. The ability to use R for the application and statistical analysis of linear regression and machine learning techniques for the modelling of experimental and observational data.

Module information

Syllabus



  • Observational versus experimental data

    • Using matrices to represent data, matrix notation.



  • Multiple regression

    • Formulating the model, the estimator and other results using matrix formulation.

    • Assumptions and assessment of the fitted model, coefficient of determination and the sample correlation coefficient.

    • Checking the assumptions of the linear model and other regression diagnostics: Residual plots, multicollinearity, homoskedasticity.

    • Model selection methods and hypothesis testing for variable selection.

    • Factorisation of the regression sum of squares and the ANOVA table.

    • Missing values and imputation



  • Designed experiments for multiple comparison tests

    • Intuition to multiple comparisons.

    • One-, two-way ANOVA and the ANCOVA.

    • Understand and interpret a logistic regression model (categorical response variable).



  • Multivariate methods

  •  Classification

    • Multiple logistic regression: odds ratio, log odds.

    • Linear discriminant analysis (LDA): classification between populations, discriminant function and probability of misclassification, multiclass LDA, quadratic discriminant analysis.

    • Test and training samples, leave-one-out and k-fold cross-validation.

    • Precision, recall, accuracy, Youden index, ROC curves, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, confusion matrix.

    • Single or multiple topic classification on articles.Feature engineering on textual data



  • Cluster analysis - similarity measures, single-link and other hierarchical methods, k-means.

    • Article topic taxonomy



  • Dimensionality reduction - Principle components analysis: definition, interpretation of calculated components, use in regression

Learning and teaching methods

Teaching in the School will be delivered using a range of face to face lectures, classes and lab sessions as appropriate for each module. Modules may also include online only sessions where it is advantageous, for example for pedagogical reasons, to do so.

Bibliography

The above list is indicative of the essential reading for the course.
The library makes provision for all reading list items, with digital provision where possible, and these resources are shared between students.
Further reading can be obtained from this module's reading list.

Assessment items, weightings and deadlines

Coursework / exam Description Deadline Coursework weighting
Coursework   Lab Test    65% 
Coursework   Written Test    35% 

Exam format definitions

  • Remote, open book: Your exam will take place remotely via an online learning platform. You may refer to any physical or electronic materials during the exam.
  • In-person, open book: Your exam will take place on campus under invigilation. You may refer to any physical materials such as paper study notes or a textbook during the exam. Electronic devices may not be used in the exam.
  • In-person, open book (restricted): The exam will take place on campus under invigilation. You may refer only to specific physical materials such as a named textbook during the exam. Permitted materials will be specified by your department. Electronic devices may not be used in the exam.
  • In-person, closed book: The exam will take place on campus under invigilation. You may not refer to any physical materials or electronic devices during the exam. There may be times when a paper dictionary, for example, may be permitted in an otherwise closed book exam. Any exceptions will be specified by your department.

Your department will provide further guidance before your exams.

Overall assessment

Coursework Exam
100% 0%

Reassessment

Coursework Exam
100% 0%
Module supervisor and teaching staff
Dr Na You, email: na.you@essex.ac.uk.
Dr Lisa Voigt, Dr Na You
na.you@essex.ac.uk

 

Availability
Yes
Yes
Yes

External examiner

Dr Yinghui Wei
University of Plymouth
Resources
Available via Moodle
Of 61 hours, 50 (82%) hours available to students:
1 hours not recorded due to service coverage or fault;
10 hours not recorded due to opt-out by lecturer(s), module, or event type.

 

Further information

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